Former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia continues to dominate all five northern regions (North East, Northern, Savannah, Upper East, and Upper West) in the race to become the New Patriotic Party (NPP) flagbearer, according to a new poll conducted by Academics and Professionals.
The findings were unveiled at a press conference held in Accra at the British Council by the lead researcher, Dr. Evans Duah.
At the press conference, Dr. Duah emphasized that Kennedy Ohene Agyapong was on course to be elected as the flagbearer of the New Patriotic Party ahead of its presidential primaries scheduled for January 2026.
According to him, a September 22 to October 5, 2025, survey of NPP delegates revealed a decisive shift in national-level preferences ahead of the party’s presidential primaries.
Building on the August 2025 baseline, the updated poll, conducted by a team of 120 trained field officers, sampled 26,150 delegates across all 16 administrative regions, achieving a robust 76% response rate.
The findings show that Kennedy Agyapong has not only retained but significantly expanded his lead among NPP delegates.
Under the worst-case scenario model, Mr Agyapong commands 44.11% of national delegate support, rising to 53.80% in the best-case projection, surpassing the majority threshold and marking a net gain of 9.69 percentage points since August.
His dominance is particularly pronounced in the southern regions, including Central, Greater Accra, Ashanti, Ahafo, Bono, Volta, and Western. He now leads in 9 out of 16 regions under conservative assumptions and 11 out of 16 under optimistic assumptions, underscoring both his numerical strength and geographical reach.
Dr. Bawumia maintains strong control of the northern corridor, with consistent delegate support across North East, Northern, Savannah, Upper East, and Upper West. However, while he remains the clear leader in these regions, the poll indicates that his overall national traction has slowed, with limited expansion beyond his northern base.
Dr. Bryan Acheampong, once a rising contender, has seen his support dip to 6.28% (worst case) and 8.27% (best case), remaining regionally concentrated in the Eastern Region. Meanwhile, Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum and Ing. Kwabena Agyei Agyapong have recorded modest gains, with growing potential through strategic alliances or endorsements.
Key factors driving the latest results include the former MP’s intensified grassroots mobilization, heightened visibility, and perception of momentum.
While the findings indicate a turning point in the race, Dr Duah cautioned that the contest remains fluid. He added that the final outcome will depend on how effectively campaigns convert momentum into votes within the short window before the primaries.
About the Author
